Easy As Pi: Bitcoin Indicator Says The Top Is In – Bitcoinist

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Easy As Pi: Bitcoin Indicator Says The Top Is In – Bitcoinist

Bitcoin price has finally closed a weekly candle over $60,000 on Binance for the first time in the asset’s history, marking the highest weekly close ever. However, just as such a moment is realized, a highly accurate top-sniping indicator with a three for three success rate has called the top of the current crypto market cycle.
But could picking the top in the powerfully trending cryptocurrency really be easy as Pi?
Bitcoin price is clearly at an inflection point. After rising from $4,000 to more than $60,000 per coin in under a year, the uptrend has taken a long pause, sticking around the resistance level for several weeks now. Technical indicators are and have been extremely overheated; volume and volatility are dropping. All signs are pointing to a sizable correction, yet fundamentals in crypto are the strongest ever.
RELATED READING | BITCOIN WEEKLY MOMENTUM INDICATOR FLIPS BEARISH FOR FIRST TIME SINCE 2020
Even the most bullish on the industry are suddenly finding themselves wondering if a top of the current cycle could be in – even if if the market isn’t behaving like a normal top. Signs are mounting by the day, but picking a peak in each Bitcoin cycle isn’t easy. Or is it?
According to a highly cited “Pi Cycle Top Indicator” on TradingView, the highly accurate tool was able to just about perfectly call all three previous Bitcoin tops – and it has just appeared again with last night’s weekly close.
bitcoin btc pi cycle top indicator
Each time in the past, the signal has marked the peak of each cycle on higher timeframes. If the Pi Cycle Top Indicator goes four out of four for picking Bitcoin peaks, that doesn’t mean all is lost for the first ever cryptocurrency.
The most recent peak in 2017 saw the signal appear just one day ahead of the high for the cycle, and was within striking distance from the high. Very few moments passed between the time the signal appeared and the exact high.
bitcoin 2017 pi cycle top
In 2013, the Pi Cycle Top Indicator missed the exact top, instead appearing on the second “double top” formation, before entering the longest bear market yet.
RELATED READING | STOCK-TO-FLOW CREATOR: BITCOIN CYCLE “NOWHERE NEAR THE TOP”
The anomaly that’s in bull’s favor, is the first 2013 peak. The signal arrived too early, and the trending crypto asset surged another 85% after the indicator said the top was in.
When the first ever cryptocurrency did eventually peak, it saw an enormous rejection, sending the price tumbling a full 82% in four days. Yes, only four days. An 80% correction in four days would see Bitcoin back at $12,000 for a brief point in time.
bitcoin 2013 pi cycle top 2
Considering the strong fundamentals and presence of institutional investors, anything that severe of a drop would likely be bought up in a fury, much like it was on Black Thursday just one year ago. Such a strong correction could purge all overheated indicators, shake out any remaining weak hands, and reignite interest for another more powerful leg up.
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator appearing in that case, wouldn’t be all that bad. If another 2013-like scenario plays out, Bitcoin would see a stomach-churning correction any day that would most certainly have the market thinking the peak was in.
If buyers stepped back in like they did in 2013, after short-term bottom Bitcoin rocketed back up another three to four times in price beyond the previous year’s high. In a similar scenario, the leading crypto asset could correct, but then after getting back above $60,000, would eventually see more than $100,000 per coin – a target that is more in line with analyst expectations.
Interestingly, the first 2013 Pi signal took place in April of that year, within two days from the signal appearing in 2021. Whatever the case may be, volatility is about to pick up in Bitcoin just as this top signal has appeared. Knowing all the past scenarios, which is the most probable to occur? Or is this time just pain different?
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I’m Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I’m a digital media executive and global remote work leader with a decade of content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck – literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn’t yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can’t yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.
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